Wednesday has turned into a tremor-filled day for the Indian IT industry, as fears around artificial intelligence disrupting traditional SaaS business models rattled investors. The trigger: Anthropic’s Claude AI and its latest upgrades, which many believe could significantly reduce the need for conventional software subscriptions.
IT stocks witnessed sharp selling, and chatter around potential layoffs at major Indian IT firms such as Infosys and TCS has grown louder. While these companies have not officially announced any large-scale job cuts, market sentiment suggests growing anxiety across the sector.
AI as a SaaS Disruptor
Claude’s recent upgrades include a suite of new plug-ins that allow the AI to function across domains such as legal research and drafting, sales, marketing, data analysis, and more. These are areas that traditionally relied heavily on specialized SaaS tools.
In simple terms, AI is increasingly capable of performing tasks that once required multiple paid software subscriptions. This shift has raised serious concerns about the long-term viability of SaaS business models, prompting investors to reassess their confidence in software companies.
JP Morgan flagged this trend in a February 3 report titled “Software Collapse Broadens with Nowhere to Hide as AI Rate-of-Change Is Extrapolated in Both Logical and Illogical Ways.” Analysts noted that the intensified software sell-off was directly linked to Anthropic’s release of multiple plug-ins for its Claude Cowork product.
Investors Sound the Alarm
Talia Goldberg, a San Francisco-based venture capitalist, highlighted the disconnect between company performance and stock valuations.
“SaaS index down 32 per cent year-on-year despite most companies meeting or beating plans, while markets are up around 15 per cent. Market fear of uncertainty and AI agents eating SaaS is wild,” she wrote.
Zoho chief scientist Sridhar Vembu echoed similar concerns, pointing out that service-oriented tech companies face increasing pressure in an AI-assisted coding era.
“The stock market is becoming very negative about the prospects of SaaS companies,” Vembu said in a post on X.
He added that the SaaS industry was already ripe for consolidation even before the AI boom.
“An industry that spends vastly more on sales and marketing than on engineering and product development was always vulnerable. AI is the pin that is popping this inflated balloon,” he noted.
Stocks Fall, Layoffs Next?
As IT stocks continued to slide on Tuesday, speculation around layoffs intensified. Though Infosys, TCS, and other IT majors have not publicly signaled imminent mass layoffs, many believe job cuts could be the industry’s next move.
Social media discussions reflect growing unease. One X user, who claimed to be an AI analyst, wrote:
“SaaS companies will have to reduce stock-based compensation. They’ll do this by firing employees. I expect a bloodbath 25 per cent reductions this year, and 80 per cent through the cycle. AI firms are far more capital efficient.”
Another Indian IT professional posted:
“As a stock market investor, I’m exiting IT stocks. As a software developer, this shift genuinely scares me. Layoffs aren’t done yet. More are coming.”
Hiring Slowdown Already Visible
The industry is already feeling the impact. Following large layoffs at TCS estimated at around 30,000 employees in 2025 India’s major IT firms added just 17 net jobs across the entire year, according to an Economic Times report.
Hiring has slowed significantly, and roles vacated by departing employees are often not being refilled. With IT stocks under renewed pressure due to AI-driven disruption fears, industry observers believe the employment situation could worsen in the coming months.
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